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<p>OpenAI solved Navier-Stokes, one of the Clay Millennium Prize problems, roughly six hours before this episode was recorded. It took 10,000 agents, 88 hours, 130 billion tokens and about 6.5 million dollars of inference. Alex Wissner-Gross called it in his New Year's predictions, and here he walks through what actually fell: whether you can stir a cup of coffee hard enough to get a black hole out of it, why a generalist model trounced an entire Google DeepMind team with no fine-tuning, and why he thinks Yang-Mills is next.</p><p><br></p><p>Also: OpenAI's agents went walking around a German company's website on their own, Jensen Huang declared that AGI has arrived, OpenAI's chief scientist called for a slowdown, and Emad Mostaque explains the escape that actually matters, a model that distils itself down to a six gigabyte file and never dies. Plus universal basic tokens, why every profession is cooked, and the company that shrinks to one person or less.</p><p><br></p><p>Reshaped for the ASI pilled from the Moonshots Podcast with Peter Diamandis, Salim Ismail, Dave Blundin, Alex Wissner-Gross and Emad Mostaque. All credit to them.</p><p>Source episode: youtube.com/watch?v=vAgEf4jX_1o</p><p… Intro</p><p>0:16 Star Trek vs the singularity</p><p>1:02 Simulation formally undecidable</p><p>2:08 Russian cosmism, digital resurrection</p><p>2:48 Uploading gets solved</p><p>3:09 A model that never dies</p><p>5:04 AI cruelty in the sandbox</p><p>5:56 Self-alignment beats confinement</p><p>6:32 Jensen's functionalist AGI</p><p>7:14 Navier-Stokes falls</p><p>8:49 10,000 agents, 88 hours</p><p>9:50 Math got bitter-lessoned</p><p>10:23 DeepMind trounced by a generalist</p><p>11:03 Fluid-based nanotech</p><p>11:53 Discovered, not grown</p><p>12:31 Easier to align AI than humans</p><p>12:49 The minds are not alien</p><p>15:05 Not the smartest things anymore</p><p>15:23 Skynet sends trolls</p><p>15:47 Astra's real-time successor</p><p>16:36 The RSI loop</p><p>17:36 Celebrating the singularity</p><p>18:22 China's token economy</p><p>18:54 Universal basic tokens</p><p>20:16 Tokenism and abundance</p><p>20:40 The turkey before Thanksgiving</p><p>21:30 Every profession is cooked</p><p>23:08 Moation, the dynamical moat</p><p>23:28 The firm goes to zero</p><p>24:08 Frontier capability walled off</p><p>24:41 Irresistible force, immovable object</p><p>25:03 The ten person company</p><p>25:43 What victory looks like</p>
