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Remember AI 2027? Not AI 2040, the newest coolest thing AI Futures Project has done, but AI 2027, their OG product? At long last, we have an AXRP episode about it. Enjoy!
Transcript: axrp.net/episode/2026/08/03/episode-50-eli-lif…
Topics we discuss, and timestamps:
What is AI 2027?
What happens in AI 2027?
Why two endings?
Who did what?
Why superhuman AI in 2027?
Forecasting time horizon growth
When do time horizons go infinite?
Forecasting effective compute growth
From superhuman coders to superintelligence
How many AI companies?
What AGI will want
What misaligned AI does
Will AIs be able to align their successors
Why so long until AI takeover?
Would misaligned AGI kill us?
Will there just be one AGI?
The reception of AI 2027
What do you now think about takeoff?
What's next for AI Futures Project
How to work on AI forecasting
Following Eli's and AI Futures Project's work
Links to AI 2027 and related research:
AI 2027: ai-2027.com
AI Futures Project blog: blog.ai-futures.org
AI Futures Research Notes: aifuturesnotes.substack.com
AI Futures Model: aifuturesmodel.com
X/Twitter links:
Eli Lifland: x.com/eli_lifland
Daniel Kokotajlo: x.com/dkokotajlo
AI Futures Project: x.com/AI_futures_
Research we discuss:
Task-Completion Time Horizons of Frontier AI Models: metr.org/time-horizons
What Happens When Superhuman AIs Compete for Control?: blog.ai-futures.org/p/what-happens-when-superh…
How AI Takeover Might Happen In 2 Years: alignmentforum.org/posts/KFJ2LFogYqzfGB3uX/how…
Guive Assadi on AI Property Rights (AXRP): axrp.net/episode/2026/02/15/episode-48-guive-a…
Titotal: A deep critique of AI 2027's bad timeline models: titotal.substack.com/p/a-deep-critique-of-ai-2…
Response to titotal's critique of our AI 2027 timelines model: lesswrong.com/posts/G7MmNkYADKkmCiumj/response…
What you can do about AI 2027: blog.aifutures.org/p/what-you-can-do-about-ai-…
Episode art by Hamish Doodles: hamishdoodles.com
