The surprising truth behind collapsing birthrates | Tyler Cowen on 2050

Tyler Cowen believes we are woefully unprepared for the next 25 years.

In the first episode of Forecast 2050 with Nebular General Partner, Finn Murphy, we discuss the real reason behind falling birthrates, what the last human job might be in an AI-dominated economy, how conflict and war could evolve in the next 25 years, whether we will have a "viagra for the mind," why we are experiencing the fastest technological revolution in human history, why humans love stasis and hate change, and why we need faith in long-term thinking.

Extended Show Notes: finnmurphyirl.substack.com/p/humans-love-stasi…

Transcript (with helpful links!): substack.com/home/post/p-189726563

Chapters:
00:00 Intro
01:03 The real reason behind low birthrates
04:50 Transitioning to a majority-old society
07:49 The future of worldwide immigration
14:55 The 2050 economy will be healthcare dominated
19:23 Corporations have never been so powerful
26:25 There is life on the moons of Saturn
27:07 Elon is wrong: We won't settle other planets
30:00 AIs Will Take Over Society By Trick
30:58 We need faith for long term thinking
32:47 There will be many, many fake jobs
36:29 The future of the UN and global conflicts
40:56 The AIs will build their own superintelligent institutions
45:18 Tyler's greatest concern
47:50 The last profession standing in the AI era

Tyler Cowen is an economist, author, and professor known for his work on growth, innovation, and the future of technology.

Tyler on X: x.com/tylercowen
Tyler's Blog: marginalrevolution.com

Forecast 2050 is a series about the next 25 years—and the builders, thinkers, and leaders shaping what comes next.

Finn on X: x.com/FinnMurphy12
Finn on LinkedIn: linkedin.com/in/finn-murphy-16160465

Nebular is an early stage venture capital firm based in New York City.

Head to nebular.vc for more info.