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Forward Guidance

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The laws of macro investing are being re-written, and investors who fail to adapt to the rapidly changing monetary environment will struggle to keep pace. Felix Jauvin interviews the brightest minds in finance about which asset classes they think will thrive in the financial future that they envision.

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  1. Long Gold And Short Semis Into Year-End? | Weekly Roundup

    Is the AI trade officially dead and where can investors hide while we wait and see? This week, we’re joined by Tony Greer to unpack the semiconductor selloff and the trades taking shape into year end. We also discuss gold’s resilience, a po

  2. Is The AI Selloff A Buying Opportunity? | Warren Pies

    Is the AI trade busting or is the market just catching its breath? This week, Warren Pies of 3Fourteen Research joins us to explain why he took equity risk off while still believing the AI build-out has room to run. We also explore financia

  3. The Fed Is A Sideshow While The AI Trade Implodes | Weekly Roundup

    The AI trade is cracking and the Fed is too boxed in to help. This week, Felix and Quinn weigh what a fracturing AI story and stalled monetary policy mean for markets heading into year end. We explore gold breaking to new lows, implied corr

  4. The Only Way Out Is Through | Weekly Roundup

    Can anything stop oil's run when the SPR is already drained? This week, we dig into why the oil squeeze is becoming structural, not just a Strait of Hormuz story. We explore the oil curve trade, the Brent–WTI gap, tightening financial condi

  5. Where Is The Crypto Alpha Hiding This Cycle?

    Is crypto finally rewarding the investors who do the work? This week, we sit down with three top allocators at DAS Singapore to unpack where the real alpha lives in an early, uneven bull market. We explore where crypto x AI actually works,

  6. The Bond Market Is Pricing In Something Worse Than Inflation | Weekly Roundup

    Is the AI trade now the only thing standing between the economy and a slowdown? This week, we unpack why bonds are rallying through scalding inflation data and what that says about the current cycle and inflection point in markets. We explo

  7. Robinhood & Lighter: Why Wall Street Is Moving Onchain

    Are onchain markets about to become the default way the world trades? This week, Felix sits down live at DAS Singapore with Robinhood's Johann Kerbrat and Lighter's Vlad Novakovski to unpack the convergence of TradFi and crypto. We explore

  8. America’s AI Boom Is Squeezing Main Street | Weekly Roundup

    Can policymakers keep the AI boom alive without squeezing the rest of the economy? This week, Aidan Garrib, PGM Global’s head of global macro strategy and research, joins us to explore the widening divide between Wall Street and Main Street

  9. The Bond Market Pain Isn't Over | Weekly Roundup

    The 10-year just closed at 5.22%, but the pain trade may be even higher. This week, 40-year rates trading veteran DCP joins us as we examine the bond selloff and what it would take to actually break something and flip the pain trade in bond

  10. The Fed Is Hiking Into A Growth Slowdown | Weekly Roundup

    What happens when the Fed hikes into fading stimulus, slowing growth, and persistent inflation? This week, we're joined by Vincent Deluard of StoneX Group to explore America’s emerging stagflation trap, AI’s economic support, and Europe’s p

  11. The Market Is Mispricing A Correlation Shock | Dean Curnutt

    Historically low volatility may be masking a meaningful shift in market risk and the AI trade. This week, Macro Risk Advisors CEO and Alpha Exchange Host Dean Curnutt explains why unusually low stock correlations make tail hedging increasin

  12. The Bond Market Is Trapping The Fed | Weekly Roundup

    Bond investors are testing whether policymakers can suppress yields without reigniting the inflation they claim to fear. This week, we unpack the political incentives, stubborn prices, and Fed’s looming credibility test currently testing ma

  13. Fiscal Dominance Is Breaking The 60/40 Portfolio | Matt Hougan & Bob Haber

    The 60/40 portfolio was built for an old regime, but what replaces bonds when fiscal dominance and currency debasement become structural? This week, Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan and Proficio CIO Bob Haber join the show to explore how hard assets

  14. Druck Calls Out Bessent & Will Jackson Hole Derail The Debasement Trade? | Weekly Roundup

    The macro establishment is turning on itself as Stan Druckenmiller challenges Scott Bessent’s efforts to suppress long-term Treasury yields. This week, we unpack the Druck-Bessent clash and what it reveals about fiscal policy, Fed independe

  15. Treasury-Led Financial Repression Is Ushering In A Debasement Regime | Weekly Roundup

    Treasury is quietly taking control of financial conditions and the market implications could trigger a new wave in the debasement trade. This week, Felix and Quinn unpack Treasury’s accelerating intervention in long-term yields and why it c

  16. The Growth Strategy Trapping The Fed | Darius Dale

    Running the economy hot may keep growth alive, but it creates a dangerous balancing act for markets. Darius Dale, founder of 42 Macro, joins us to explain why today’s reflationary regime demands a different investing playbook. We also discu

  17. Washington Is Suppressing Volatility To Keep The AI Boom Alive | Weekly Roundup

    Washington is shifting from monetary management toward state-directed capitalism and the consequences could reshape where capital flows next. This week, Tyler joins us for his final roundup before heading to Shoten Capital, unpacking the sh

  18. The Portfolio Built To Survive Every Crash | Jared Dillian

    Markets are relearning that durable wealth comes from disciplined risk management, not chasing momentum or relying on central bank intervention. This week, we're joined by Jared Dillian, editor of The Daily Dirtnap and author of The Awesome

  19. The AI Unwind And Warsh's Long-End Gamble | Weekly Roundup

    AI’s leverage-fueled boom is colliding with a Fed determined to tighten conditions without touching short-term rates. This week, we dig into the Situational Awareness liquidation, the Fed meeting, and whether markets have reached a genuine

  20. AI Efficiency Is Repricing The Compute Market | Steve Hou

    AI’s next phase hinges on a paradox: falling costs could threaten today’s winners while unlocking far greater demand. Steve Hou, head of research at Silicon Data and former Bloomberg strategist, joins us to examine the changing economics of

  21. The AI Unwind Is Forcing A Historic Market Rotation | Weekly Roundup

    The market’s most crowded trade is beginning to crack, but where the fallout spreads next remains unclear. This week, we dig into the violent momentum unwind and mounting pressure across the AI trade. We explore the damage of leveraged ETFs

  22. Think Like Everyone Else, Lose Like Everyone Else | Brent Donnelly

    Markets reward independent thinking, but only if you can avoid the traps that come with it. This week, Brent Donnelly, President of Spectra Markets and author of Trade Outside the Box, joins us to discuss how psychology, risk management, an

  23. The AI Trade Is Finally Cracking | Weekly Roundup

    Markets can look strongest just before their underlying assumptions begin to crack. This week, we examine whether the AI-led growth narrative is beginning to unravel as positioning, macro data, and market structure all shift at once. We dis

  24. How To Trade The New Warsh Fed | Bob Sheehan

    Markets may be entering a fundamentally different monetary regime under Kevin Warsh. This week, Bob Sheehan of Lighthouse Macro joins to explain why the Fed's evolving framework could reshape how investors interpret policy, economic data, a

  25. Is The Fed Panic Already Fading? | Weekly Roundup

    The Fed scare that dominated markets may already be losing momentum. Now investors are asking what comes next as the AI trade, inflation picture, and market leadership evolve. This week, we break down why the Fed may be nearing the end of i

  26. A New Era Is Beginning In Markets | Weekly Roundup

    A new era at the Federal Reserve may be reshaping how markets think about rates, volatility, and the role of central banks. But is the market interpreting Kevin Warsh's first moves correctly? This week, we break down Warsh's first FOMC meet

  27. The Warsh Fed Will Look Nothing Like Before | Joseph Wang

    A new Fed chair has arrived, and the implications could be far bigger than a single rate decision. Joseph Wang, former Fed trader and creator of Fed Guy, joins Forward Guidance immediately after Kevin Warsh’s first FOMC meeting to unpack wh

  28. Blockworks Acquires Messari

    In this special episode, Blockworks announces its acquisition of Messari and unpacks what it means for crypto’s next phase. Michael and Jason explore why Messari’s breadth of data, APIs, and research complement Blockworks’ deep on-chain ana

  29. Policy Intervention Is Keeping The Bull Market Alive | Weekly Roundup

    Markets increasingly seem to respond more to intervention than fundamentals, raising a bigger question about what actually drives asset prices today. This week, we discuss how policy intervention, systematic flows, and AI-driven capital all

  30. Warsh Must Choose The Dollar Or The Bond Market | Luke Gromen

    A seemingly simple Fed transition is becoming a massive stress test of the entire financial system as rising debt, inflation, and global energy crisis collide. Luke Gromen of Forest For The Trees joins to discuss Kevin Warsh’s looming chall

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