Predicting the Midterms: Is the Blue Wave Real? | Episode 33

On today’s Election Day special of The Briefing Room, I start with a milestone: our episode “What Really Happened on October 7th” just passed a million views. That’s a fitting moment, right after the Israeli elections. I look at what a Gadi Eisenkot government would actually change, and at his surprise coalition deal with Arab parties that could push the opposition past 61 seats.
Then we head to the races that could decide the Senate. In Michigan, Haley Stevens lost her primary and spent three months as a loyal Democrat. Then on Halloween she endorsed Republican Mike Rogers. What do you get for burning down your career days before an election? In South Carolina, Lindsey Graham’s sister says national security “isn’t really her thing,” and she has a few choice words for her brother.
Down in Texas, Elon Musk has poured nearly $190 million into Ken Paxton’s campaign. Paxton is the attorney general who regulates Musk’s businesses. I ask whether James Talarico is finally the Democrat who turns Texas blue. In Iowa, a state Trump won by 13 points could elect a Democratic governor, thanks to a GOP ticket with some serious baggage. And in Alaska, we’ve got “Decoy Dan,” a mysterious operative named “Zane,” an FBI investigation, and a DOJ lawsuit to block certification. Did Mary Peltola’s people just hand Trump the story he wanted?
Stick around at the end for my Halloween costumes.

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