Why Did the Iran War Restart? | Macro Mondays July 13, 2026

Andreas Steno and Mikkel Rosenvold are back with the latest Macro Mondays to discuss the latest escalation in the Middle East and what the impact might be; a slowdown in Korean chip exports and what it tells us about the health of the AI trade; and a worrying new trend in the U.S.-China rivalry.

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Timestamps:
00:22 - Strait of Hormuz Crisis Returns: Should Markets Worry?
02:24 - Trump Wants the US to Control the Strait of Hormuz
03:53 - Oil Flows, Dark Tankers, and the Real Supply Risk
06:12 - How Long Can the US and China Cover the Oil Shortfall?
08:29 - Jet Fuel, Diesel, and the Inflation Risk Markets Are Missing
10:22 - CPI Preview: Could Inflation Surprise Sharply Lower?
15:23 - Memory Stocks, Semiconductor Demand, and the AI CapEx Boom
19:18 - South Korea Exports: Has the Memory Trade Finally Peaked?
22:58 - ASML Earnings and the Next Test for AI Stocks
24:42 - US-China Decoupling, Critical Metals, and the Dollar Trade
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