332 - Attribution of Extreme Weather Events

Guests: Friederike Otto (eci.ox.ac.uk/people/fotto.html) Host: Markus Voelter Shownoter: Thomas Machowinski

An important consequence of the warming of the planet due to climate change is that the frequency and/or severity of extreme weather events will increase. But how can we tell whether a particular event can be attributed to the changing climate? Would it have happened in “normal” climate as well, and if so, how would the event have been different? This aspect of climate science is called attribution science, and the guest of this episode, Introduction 00:05:28
Environental Change Institute | Global Warming (en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_warming) | Attribution Science | Extreme Weather (en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Extreme_weather) | Heat Stress | en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Drought | Hurricane (en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tropical_cyclone)

Attribution
00:18:04
Climate Models (en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climate_model) | Greenhouse Gas (en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greenhouse_gas) | en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability | en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aerosol | Heat Island (en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Urban_heat_island)

Simulation Approaches
00:44:13
weather@home (climateprediction.net/weatherathome) | ECMWF (en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Centre_for_Medi…)

Development of Attribution Science
01:04:49
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bias_(statistics)