One Decision

Will China Invade Taiwan in 2026? Expert's New Insight Reveals "Perfect Storm"

Donnerstag, 19. Februar 2026 · 41 min

MP3

Shownotes

Is 2026 China's window to “reunite” Taiwan? With Trump’s muted position on Taiwan and focus on the Western Hemisphere, China experts see a "perfect storm" of opportunity. Yun Sun, Ph.D., Director of the China Program at the Stimson Center, explains why Beijing believes this may be a now-or-never moment.  Dr. Sun unpacks her arguments and warnings from her recent Foreign Affairs essay.

In this episode:

•
The People's Liberation Army’s military readiness

•
If the United States won’t intervene, would Japan or South Korea?

•
Decoding the signals from the purge of PLA generals

•
Xi Jinping's legacy ambitions

•
Warning signs to watch in 2026

Show Notes:

•
A Perfect Storm for Taiwan in 2026? | Foreign Affairs (foreignaffairs.com/china/perfect-storm-taiwan-…)

•
Yun Sun | Stimson Center (stimson.org/ppl/sun)

•
Yun Sun | Brookings (brookings.edu/people/yun-sun)

Hosted by Sir Richard Dearlove (former MI6 Chief) and guest co-host Rosanna Lockwood (international journalist).

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