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  1. Momo trade roars back to life, but for how long?

    Today, a look at the market returning to its past form as AI-related hardware stocks ripped higher even as the median stock on the S&P 500 posted a negative day. Also, a look at the many interesting earnings reports up next week, a rundown

  2. Wishy washy Fed Chair Warsh vibe punches sentiment in the gut

    Today, a look at the market's concern that this Fed isn't determined to get ahead of inflation and the impact on US treasury yields, which spooked market sentiment broadly in the US yesterday. Elsewhere, Microsoft's strong earnings report a

  3. Peak SK Hynix madness?

    Today, we wonder if the back side of SK Hynix's earnings report overnight and the popping of the leveraged ETF bubble in some of the single tech names has now largely run its course - leaving the market for its next move - whether broadly u

  4. Three hyperscalers set to report as AI momentum stocks stumble

    Today, a look at the intensifying sell-off in high momentum AI hardware names, led by a an ugly meltdown in the two Korean memory stocks overnight. Meanwhile, the broader market posted a very different and far more positive day, an intensif

  5. FOMC, BoJ and Earnings Season peak this week

    Today, we look at a few things that unfolded late last week in reaction to some of the first big earnings reports of this quarter and preview the week ahead, which is the biggest one for this quarterly earnings cycle. It's a big week ahead

  6. With special guest Peter Garnry of Gesda Capital

    Today, a conversation with special guest Peter Garnry, co-founder of Gesda Capital on choosing and valuing stocks for the long run, observations on the current state of play in AI as expressed in equity markets, the Meta and other news this

  7. Meta announcement: just a warning shot or the actual pin prick?

    Today, a look at global equity markets roiled by Meta's announcement that it will rent out use spare data center capacity for AI applications, raising concerns for AI-linked cap-ex and all stocks linked with the "AI picks and shovels" theme

  8. Rocket Lab enters the space comms fray with Iridium grab. Also, USA at 250!

    John's piece: Wall Street at 250 through a Wall Street lens: Where we've been and what comes next (https://johnjhardy.substack.com/p/usa-at-250-through-a-wall-street). Today, a round-up of another session with AI hardware momentum names roc

  9. Leverage upon leverage, what could go wrong?

    Today, a look at the latest strong session for some of the market's highest momentum names, as we note with some caution the risks that leverage, especially not fully evident hidden leverage is a mounting risk for the most speculative corne

  10. Flat Friday on the index surface, but bonkers beta underneath.

    Today, a look at a much zanier Friday session in US equities than the almost flat close on the S&P 500 suggested as market internals have become wildly divergent, much of it linked to the market's bucketing of AI winners and losers. Elsewhe

  11. Apple pays for the hubris. Samsung to bust out a quadrillion in cap-ex.

    Today's John J. Hardy substack post. (https://johnjhardy.substack.com/p/apple-pays-for-the-hubris-samsung) Today, a look at some incredible volatility and cross-currents in the US equity market as Mag7 continues to come in for a beating as

  12. Micron tries to revive AI hardware momo. Gold tests below 4,000.

    Today, the blow-out Micron earnings report is doing all it can to revive the AI hardware momentum trade, and it will be interesting to see how the huge jump in Micron shares ages into the options expiry this Friday. Elsewhere, the US dollar

  13. The US dollar is having its cake and eating it too...for now.

    Today, we look at the drivers of the stronger US dollar as it pulls to new highs for the year and what may be holding back USDJPY from participating in the greenback rally as those forty-year highs from 2024 approach. Elsewhere, yesterday's

  14. Chips suddenly on tilt into Micron earnings Wednesday

    Today's John J. Hardy Substack post (https://johnjhardy.substack.com/p/chips-suddenly-on-tilt-into-micron)- you won't want to miss today's links! Today, a huge vibe shift overnight as Korean memory stocks come unglued Tuesday, sending US eq

  15. Likely Super El Niño building: a non-alarmist take on the risks

    Today, a sober and thorough look at the risks for key commodities and equities on the powerful El Niño climate phenomenon building in the Pacific, one that could prove the most intense humanity has experienced in many decades. Saxo Head of

  16. Accenture needing dentures after market knocks its teeth out

    Today, we highlight another high energy day for the equity market, with semiconductor stocks screaming back higher and the US dollar continuing its move higher post-FOMC, even as we question whether the market is anticipating the future pat

  17. Fed Chair Warsh impact washes over markets

    Today, we note the huge change in vibe and substance as new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh took charge at the Fed at his first meeting. He is a great communicator and put his stamp on how this Fed will be a very different one with far fewer hints on

  18. Choppy chips even as crude mega-dips. Warsh on tap.

    Today, some last thoughts on the FOMC ahead of the meeting as the market is treating it with little anticipation even if this is likely to prove the most significant ideological change at the Fed since Greenspan left in 2006. Also - evidenc

  19. The tails wagging the market and SpaceX dogs

    Today's John J. Hardy Substack post for this podcast (https://johnjhardy.substack.com/p/the-tails-wagging-the-market-and) Today we look at a fresh stunning advance in US equities as we reapproach the all time highs for the main US indices,

  20. FOMO in equities, ho-hum in macro even as new Fed era begins this week.

    Today, a look at risk sentiment in full swing after a successful SpaceX IPO on Friday and a stronger sense that the Iran war ceasefire may last long enough for shipping lanes to fully open in the Hormuz Strait, at least for a time. But whil

  21. Rounding up the usual suspects as a new era at the Fed dawns next week.

    Today, the usual suspects knee-jerked higher Thursday on Trump's latest peace declaration as crude oil dropped, while the other usual suspects (software as a service) were some of the worst performers ahead of Adobe's earnings release after

  22. The either-or moment for US stocks and gold

    Today, a look at markets testing the lows again yesterday, but trying to put in a rally ahead of a huge market event tomorrow that could define where this market heads next in what could prove an either-or moment. Elsewhere, interesting mar

  23. Market volatility expansion flashes red. Gold key support in view.

    Today, a look at what the further acceleration in US- and other market volatility means, particularly for the highly speculative chip stocks that have seen the greatest gains this year, even on a day when the broader market and median stock

  24. Many moving parts ahead of next week's seminal event

    Today, a look at the market trying to continue its bounce-back from Friday's meltdown in especially chip stocks, interesting news flow on the AI data center financing front, lots on macro and FX and much more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Glo

  25. Correction not yet a calamity.

    Today, putting Friday's big market sell-off in perspective as an overdue development after the huge recent ramp in high momentum stocks. Broader risk sentiment remains fairly calm, though there is a bit of stress from geopolitics and higher

  26. The real reason Musk wants to go to Mars?

    Today we look at fresh blow-out enthusiasm for a major tech name reporting strong earnings that blasted its stock into the stratosphere after hours yesterday. We also note the bevy of interesting tech names reporting next week, run through

  27. Snowflake rips, Gold at critical levels.

    Today, we note the very different outcomes for the two admittedly very different software names Salesforce and Snowflake as both reported earnings after the close yesterday. Elsewhere, insane volatility for Marvell in yesterday's session ah

  28. Memory mania or just catching up with fundamentals?

    Today's John J. Hardy substack (https://johnjhardy.substack.com/p/memory-mania-or-just-catching-up) (and yes, embarrassing bad math from your host in today's podcast) Today, we try to keep observations balanced as we observe the latest race

  29. Solace for quantum investors as long weekend awaits

    Today, a look at quantum computing stocks getting a big bump on public investments in the space in the US. Elsewhere, it remains all about AI stocks pumping higher, while one notable software-as-a-service (Saas) name was the S&P 500 index's

  30. Nvidia earnings a damp squib as something else is blotting out the sun.

    Today, the prospect of perhaps the most anticipated IPO ever is overwhelming the market's interest in processing Nvidia's latest earnings report, which checked all of the boxes, but no more. Elsewhere, the latest headline risks from the Ira

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