America’s Coming Population Crash—and China’s, with Nicholas Eberstadt
Freitag, 8. Mai 2026 · 55 min
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Shownotes
Nicholas Eberstadt, the Henry Wendt Chair in Political Economy at the American Enterprise Institute, joins School of War to discuss global population decline. What does a shrinking and aging population mean for the United States? What does it mean for China, whose demographic crisis may be even more severe? How could population decline reshape economic growth, military power, and geopolitical competition? And what happens to the international order when the world stops growing?
Population decline in America
006:15 Deaths exceeding births in the US
Global birth crash
Grounds for optimism
Small family trend
GDP relationship with population size
Individual prosperity vs. National strength
Rise in human life expectancy
Ben Carson’s prediction
Ukraine’s military revolution
American bad habits
AI and the labor market
Chinese depopulation crisis
What would a world war look like today?
US Alliance relationships
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