#198: Microsoft AI CEO Predicts Job Automation in 18 Months, AI Productivity Evidence, Dario Amodei Interview & Seedance 2.0

Microsoft's AI CEO just put a 12–18 month expiration date on most white-collar work. But after spending weeks with enterprise executives, Paul Roetzer sees a very different reality: most companies haven't even gotten past giving their teams AI access.

In Ep. 198, Paul and Mike unpack the growing disconnect between AI capability and AI adoption, share Paul's 7-point thought experiment on the future of work, and cover a massive week of news: Dario Amodei's warning about the AI exponential, AI productivity gains finally appearing in economic data, ByteDance's SeaDance 2.0 copyright crisis, Claude Sonnet 4.6, Open Claw's creator joining OpenAI, AI hardware moves from Apple and Meta, and a provocative editorial arguing journalism schools are failing students.

Show Notes: Access the show notes and show links here (podcast.smarterx.ai/shownotes/198?utm_source=p…)

Click here to take this week's AI Pulse. (docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSd--6hY8F55E8…)

Timestamps:

00:00:00 — Intro

00:05:38 — AI Pulse Survey Results

00:08:48 — Microsoft AI CEO Predicts White Collar Work Automated in 12-18 Months

00:20:42 — AI Productivity Evidence

00:33:23 —Dario Amodei on Dwarkesh

00:47:55 — Dor Brothers AI Movie and the Rise of Seedance

00:55:07 — Claude Sonnet 4.6

01:00:51 — OpenClaw Creator Goes to OpenAI

01:05:00 — OpenAI Devices and AI Devices

01:14:51 — AI in Journalism Controversy

01:25:05 — Meta Patents AI for the Dead

01:26:56 — AI Product and Funding Updates

This episode is brought to you by AI Academy by SmarterX.

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