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The Dividend Cafe

Thursday - October 8, 2026

Donnerstag, 8. Oktober 2026 · 7 min

MP3

Shownotes

Brian Szytel records shortly before the close on October 8, noting a modest down day with the Dow and S&P off about a third of a percent and the Nasdaq down about two-thirds, as value holds up better than growth amid sharply higher oil (WTI around $92, Brent around $106) and slightly higher rates. He observes the yield curve has been flattening over the past two weeks as long rates come down somewhat, with news out of France adding bond-market reverberations, and highlights better-than-expected initial jobless claims. Drawing on meetings with multiple portfolio managers, he discusses strong near-term earnings expectations—particularly in South Korean memory names—but cautions that forward-looking markets can quickly reprice if longer-term demand, productivity, or capex payoffs disappoint, arguing against over-concentration. He also explains that a 15-basis-point move in the 10-year is dramatic but more common than assumed, occurring about 34 times in five years.

Welcome and Setup

Market Snapshot Today

Oil and Rates Impact

Economic Data Check

NYC Manager Meetings

AI Memory Stock Caution

Rate Volatility Explained

Wrap Up and Sign Off

Disclosures and Disclaimer

Links mentioned in this episode:
DividendCafe.com (dividendcafe.com)

TheBahnsenGroup.com (thebahnsengroup.com)

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