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The Dividend Cafe

Thursday - September 3, 2026

Freitag, 4. September 2026 · 9 min

MP3

Shownotes

Brian Szytel recaps a strong Thursday rally in risk assets after a modestly positive prior session, citing improved market breadth, dovish comments from Fed Governor Waller, slightly lower rates, and reduced September hike odds from 68% to 50/50 amid a split committee, easing inflation, and a normalizing labor market; he also notes political sensitivity ahead of November midterms. The Dow rose 624 points, the S&P 500 gained 1%, and the Nasdaq rose 1.4%, with strength in mega-cap tech and semis. He highlights wide sector dispersion (88% of financials above the 200-day vs. 94% of semis down 20% from highs), low volatility and shallow drawdowns, and historically positive 12-month periods after midterms. Economic data were solid: jobless claims 206K, ISM services 55.4, and a slightly narrower July trade deficit. He addresses a question on Trump Media’s Truth API, arguing it’s ethically questionable but not a major market needle-mover for long-term investors, and signs off ahead of Labor Day weekend.

Market Rally Recap

Fed Talk and Rate Odds

Sector Dispersion Signals

Volatility and Midterm Patterns

Economic Data Scorecard

Truth API and Trading Edge

Wrap Up and Weekend

Links mentioned in this episode:
DividendCafe.com (dividendcafe.com)

TheBahnsenGroup.com (thebahnsengroup.com)

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