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The Dividend Cafe

Unapologetic Energy Bull: Meet Me in the Middle

Freitag, 25. September 2026 · 26 min

MP3

Shownotes

Today's Post - bahnsen.co/4rwGwnT

David Bahnsen hosts the Friday Dividend Cafe and explains he chose to focus on an energy investment theme rather than the week’s surge in bond yields. He argues investors and media overemphasize headlines about the Strait of Hormuz, Iran, and WTI prices, while the energy sector remains largely ignored due to its small S&P 500 weight (about 3.5% versus Apple at 7.4%, and midstream at 0.5%). He notes oil supply disruptions have been buffered by large inventory drawdowns, and that energy equities appear disconnected from oil’s move, with valuations running about 70% of their historical relationship to the broader market. He makes a bullish, longer-term case tied to AI-driven power needs and highlights midstream “2.0” fundamentals: rising domestic and global natural gas demand, expanding LNG export capacity, hard-to-permit pipelines with inflation-protected contracts, better governance, lower leverage, and strong distribution growth potential.

Welcome And Setup

Why Energy Is Ignored

Index Weighting Reality

Hormuz Supply Shock

Oil Versus Stocks Gap

AI Needs More Power

Valuation Case For Energy

Midstream Opportunity

Midstream PTSD And Comeback

Midstream 2.0 Tailwinds

Pipelines And Capital Discipline

Wrap Up And Takeaway

Links mentioned in this episode:
DividendCafe.com (dividendcafe.com)

TheBahnsenGroup.com (thebahnsengroup.com)

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