- alle zwei WochenErscheinungsrhythmus
- 36 mintypische Länge
- 23. Okt.letzte Folge
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Where To Find Cheap Macro Optionality
Alf and Brent look into various ''Trump trades'' now that the odds of a Trump election and Republican sweep have increased: is there still juice left? And where? Specifically, they also reflect on the use of options as macro traders. Want t
It's Macro ShowTime!
Alf and Brent discuss the interesting market reaction to the weak US CPI report, and they dig deep into the '''Trump trade'': how would you trade a Trump victory and why? They also talk about the US Dollar and bond markets. Want to chat wit
Option Markets Are Eating The World
In this episode, Alf invites Cem Karsan to discuss what's going on in option markets. Cem does a great job at explaining what's the dispersion trade, how big it has become, and how it might unwind wreaking havoc across asset classes. Alf an
What Powell Really Meant
A big macro week is behind us: the combination of CPI and PPI releases provide us with solid information on where the disinflation trend stands. Alf and Brent also discuss Powell’s press conference + change in dots and the European politica
Risk Management Principles
Alf and Brent discuss the ECB and Bank of Canada cuts, and reflect on the big bond market moves seen recently coupled with carry trade implosions. The discussion focuses around risk management principles to prevent bad left tail outcomes wh
Don't Make This Mistake
Free Trial to Alf's Institutional Research? Ping Alfonso Peccatiello on Bloomberg for more info! In this podcast, Alf invites Peter Farac (aka @countdraghula on Twitter) to the show. Peter brings a wealth of experience running money and has
How Macro Traders Navigate Uncertainties
Want to meet Alf and Brent in person?! Fill in this 30-second survey so we can make this happen: https://www.eSurveysPro.com/Survey.aspx?id=ad4fe049-95b7-40ef-a46b-f1bdc509b256 (https://emea01.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%
How To Trade Macro Now?
(Links mentioned in the podcast are in the show notes below: check them out!) Alf and Brent discuss the soft patch the US seems to be going through and the CPI number released this week. If markets are going to continue with this low-vol gr
Early Signs of Weakness
The Bank of England pre-announced a rate cut in June, the Swedish Riksbank cut interest rates, and there are a few early signs of weakness emerging in the US as well. Is the market ready for a regime switch? Alf and Brent also discuss how t
A New Fed Put?
Descrizione: Nominal growth is showing some early signs of fatigue, while economists' expectations remain elevated and market pricing still quite hawkish. Alf and Brent discuss potential opportunities arising from this setup, and spend time
A Contrarian Macro Thesis
US Q1 Real GDP printed below expectations but still at a respectable 1.6%, and core inflation was hotter than analysts forecast: more fuel on the fire of the reflation theme? Alf and Brent present a contrarian macro thesis instead, and also
What if Hikes are Stimulative?!
The Fed is all of a sudden opening up to the possibility of hikes: what now? But most importantly: have you ever thought about the possibility of Fed hikes being stimulative? And finally: do you have any idea why every Central Bank in the w
Yes, But What Will Break Markets?
This week Alf and Brent discuss how markets seem to be on the lookout for a release valve for the combination of a Fed talking about cuts while nominal growth doesn't call for them: commodiites, bond markets, and the US Dollar seem to be al
The Next Big Trade?
Markets are in reflation mode with commodities getting bid all over the place: not only gold and crude oil, but also silver, copper, zinc, you name it. Also, the US Dollar is showing signs of topping and it all starts to closely remind one
Macro Traders Reflections
Alf welcomes back Brent to the show, and the co-host duo discusses macro data, Fed's Waller speech, Japan and China. But most importantly they share thoughts and observations about the current low volatility market regime, how to approach i
Dario Perkins: These Central Banks Better Pivot Fast
This week Alf welcomes Dario Perkins to the show. Dario discusses how we got here with much more benign inflationary dynamics without a big damage to labor markets - hint: Central Bankers were lucky more than skilled. Dario and Alf discuss
Volatility is Coming
The bond market is waking up to the idea that inflation might be a bit stickier and the Fed's hands are tied. Alf and Brent discuss what this implies for global macro asset classes, and highlight a few trade ideas. Sign up for the free wait
Animal Spirits Running Loose
Alf and Brent discuss how animal spirits seem to be running loose in several asset classes. Signs are evident not only in stocks but also in gold, Bitcoin and option markets. They also focus on Japan and the potential tectonic shifts in the
Macro Opportunities Around The World
Alf and Brent discuss the outlook for the US economy, and how bond markets have adjusted their pricing to reflect the odds of a soft landing. Is there a trade maybe? They then move their focus to Canada, Europe, New Zealand, China: a tour a
This Is It
A last, fascinating tour across global macro asset classes before Alf and Andreas switch the lights off for a while. Want to keep up with Andreas and Alf’s macro views? You can keep up with Andreas through the brand new macro podcast called
The ECB Hikes As The Fed Pauses - Is This 2008 Again?
In this episode, Alf and Andreas discuss the decisions from the Fed, ECB and Bank of Japan. In a few episodes, The Macro Trading Floor is about to stop for a while: want to keep up with Andreas and Alf’s macro views? You can keep up with An
It's All About Liquidity & Inflation Now
The debt ceiling soap opera is over and hence it’s time to rebuild the Treasury General Account - Alf and Andreas bust some of the myths around this topic, and discuss the real market implications out of this. They also look at inflation de
The AI 5 versus the S&P 495
Tech stocks are pushing stock indexes higher, with AI-related companies (NVIDIA?) leading the rally more decisively while the ''S&P 495'' doesn't join the party. Alf and Andreas discuss this trend, update us on the debt ceiling negotiations
A Macro Trader Playbook with Jim Leitner
How does a professional macro investor think about a multipolar world where investment opportunities and challenges might lie outside the US and China? How does he manage risks, correlations and how does he go about finding new trade ideas
The Debt Ceiling Drama is Approaching
The X-Date for the debt ceiling is approaching and US politicians don't seem keen in finding a swift resolution. This will impact global liquidity, the bond markets and the US Dollar. Alf and Andreas discuss this theme, reflect over US infl
The Credit Crunch is Here
Subscribe to The Macro Trading Floor YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCFk1qCySNf2FIzIidVVW81A -- Alf and Andreas discuss the recent Federal Reserve and ECB decisions and the market reactions. They also dig deep into the unf
First Republic Under Stress, Now What?
Subscribe To The Macro Trading Floor: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCFk1qCySNf2FIzIidVVW81A -- On today's episode of The Macro Trading Floor, Alfonso & Andreas discuss the continued banking turmoil as First Republic Bank lost around $100
What's Happening In Global Macro?
Subscribe to The Macro Trading Floor YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCFk1qCySNf2FIzIidVVW81A -- On today's episode of The Macro Trading Floor, Alfonso & Andreas take a tour of the global macro landscape by looking at the k
Here Is Why Markets Are Rallying
On today's episode of The Macro Trading Floor, Alfonso & Andreas begin by breaking down the bank earnings on the back of the recent banking turmoil across markets. We then discuss why markets are rallying as everything from the S&P, Banks &
