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The Memo by Howard Marks

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  1. The Insight: Conversations – Special Episode with Annie Duke and Howard Marks

    Special guest Annie Duke (former professional poker player, best-selling author) joins Howard Marks to discuss ideas from her book Thinking in Bets and Howard’s memo You Bet! They explore luck, decision quality, uncertainty, and more in thi

  2. The Insight: Conversations – Full Return World with Howard Marks and Armen Panossian

    Howard Marks (Co-Chairman) and Armen Panossian (Head of Performing Credit) discuss topics related to Howard’s latest memo, Further Thoughts on Sea Change, and Oaktree’s recently published Performing Credit Quarterly 3Q2023 in this crossover

  3. Further Thoughts on "Sea Change"

    In his latest memo, Howard Marks provides a follow-up to Sea Change (https://www.oaktreecapital.com/insights/memo/sea-change) (https://www.oaktreecapital.com/insights/memo/sea-change), his thought-provoking memo published in December 2022.

  4. The Insight: Conversations – Credit Picker’s Market with Wayne Dahl, Robert O’Leary, and Mark Jacobs

    How have credit investors been successfully navigating the volatile interest rate environment? Which sectors currently look attractive to opportunistic credit investors? What are some of the major misconceptions about today’s commercial rea

  5. Behind the Memo: Fewer Losers, or More Winners?

    In the latest episode of Behind the Memo, Howard discusses his recent memo: Fewer Losers, or More Winners? He details the inspiration for the memo and explains why investors – like tennis players – need to consider their skill level, aspira

  6. Fewer Losers, or More Winners?

    In his latest memo, Howard Marks discusses the essential choice in both investing and sports: should you go for more winners or try to eliminate losers? That is, should you emphasize aggressiveness or defensiveness? This is a key decision t

  7. The Insight: Conversations – European Credit at a Turning Point

    Learn about the current state of European credit and the dramatic changes seen over the last year in this thought-provoking discussion with Armen Panossian (Head of Performing Credit), Madelaine Jones (Portfolio Manager, European Senior Loa

  8. The Insight: Conversations – Fighting the Fed with Armen Panossian, Danielle Poli, and Megan Messina

    Armen Panossian (Head of Performing Credit), Danielle Poli (Assistant Portfolio Manager, Global Credit), and Megan Messina (Head of CLO Capital Markets) discuss topics from the 2Q2023 Performing Credit Quarterly. They consider the current t

  9. Taking The Temperature

    In his latest memo, Howard Marks discusses five market calls he’s made during his career. He argues that investors seeking to take the temperature of the market should focus on understanding prevailing market psychology and the nature of cy

  10. The Insight: Conversations – This Time Might Be Different with Howard Marks and David Rosenberg

    David Rosenberg, co-portfolio manager of Oaktree’s U.S. and Global High Yield strategies, and Howard Marks discuss topics from the June 2023 edition of The Roundup. They consider the evolution of the high yield bond market, investor optimis

  11. The Insight: Conversations – Cutting Through the Economic Noise with Wayne Dahl

    Oaktree Investment Risk Officer Wayne Dahl explains why economic statistics can tell conflicting stories and what this means for credit investors trying to make sense of today’s noisy data.

  12. The Insight: Conversations – Performing Credit Quarterly 1Q2023

    In the first episode of Oaktree’s new podcast, Armen Panossian (Head of Performing Credit) and Howard Marks (Co-Chairman) discuss key takeaways from the 1Q2023 Performing Credit Quarterly, including the potential ramifications of the recent

  13. Lessons from Silicon Valley Bank

    In his latest memo, Howard Marks discusses the significance of the Silicon Valley Bank collapse. He argues that it likely doesn’t portend a wave of banking failures but may amplify preexisting wariness among investors and lenders, leading t

  14. The Rewind: Calling The Market

    Howard looks back on several memos he’s written near major turning points in the market over the last few decades, from the bursting of the dot-com bubble to the pandemic-driven crisis in early 2020. He considers what an investor should – a

  15. The Rewind: Ditto

    Howard is joined by Bruce Flatt, CEO of Brookfield, for a discussion of Ditto, which was originally published on January 7, 2013. They examine the distinction between price and value and consider how investors might gain a competitive advan

  16. Behind the Memo: Sea Change

    In the latest episode of Behind the Memo, Howard discusses his most recent memo, Sea Change. He explains why the shift we may currently be experiencing could force investors to rethink the meaning of "normal." You can listen to Sea Change i

  17. Sea Change

    In his latest memo, Howard Marks writes that the investment world may be experiencing the third major sea change over the last 50 years. Events in recent years – especially the spike in inflation and the Federal Reserve’s response – appear

  18. Behind the Memo: What Really Matters?

    In the latest episode of Behind the Memo, Howard discusses his most recent memo, What Really Matters?, and looks back on a year of memo-writing. He considers the themes that have dominated his thinking in 2022 and highlights his key message

  19. What Really Matters?

    In his latest memo, Howard Marks weaves together some of the themes he’s explored in 2022 to explain what he believes really matters in investing and what doesn’t. He discusses the disadvantages of short-term thinking, the difference betwee

  20. The Rewind: Global Financial Crisis

    Howard reflects on memos related to the Global Financial Crisis with Bob O’Leary, Co-Portfolio Manager of Oaktree’s Global Opportunities strategy. They share their most striking memories from the years leading up to and during the crisis. T

  21. Behind the Memo: The Illusion of Knowledge

    In the latest episode of Behind the Memo, Howard discusses key themes from his recent memo, The Illusion of Knowledge. He explains why creating helpful macro forecasts is so challenging and why “thinking about macro” and forecasting aren’t

  22. The Illusion of Knowledge

    Howard Marks has long questioned the value of macro forecasts, but in his latest memo, he explains why creating profitable forecasts is so difficult. He discusses the incredible complexity involved in modeling an economy and makes it clear

  23. Behind the Memo: I Beg To Differ

    In the latest episode of Behind the Memo, Howard discusses his recent memo, I Beg to Differ. He explains why investors seeking to outperform need to think differently, be exceptional, and be prepared to look wrong – even when they’re right.

  24. I Beg To Differ

    Howard Marks’s latest memo argues that investors seeking superior performance must have the courage to depart from the pack, even though doing so means accepting the risk of being wrong. Thinking differently and better than others is key to

  25. The Rewind: Something of Value

    Howard reflects on this memo, originally published on January 11, 2021, with his son Andrew Marks. They discuss why open-mindedness – at all ages – is key when investing in a rapidly changing world. Andrew is the co-managing partner of TQ V

  26. Behind the Memo: Bull Market Rhymes

    In the latest episode of Behind the Memo, Howard discusses his recent memo, Bull Market Rhymes. Howard explains why investing keeps getting harder and why looking to the past can potentially help investors better analyze the innovations tha

  27. Bull Market Rhymes

    Howard Marks’s latest memo explores recurring investment themes to contextualize the current market correction and the bull market that preceded it. He discusses the role played by financial innovations like SPACs and cryptocurrencies and w

  28. The Rewind: Lines in the Sand

    Howard reflects on this https://www.oaktreecapital.com/docs/default-source/memos/lines-in-the-sand.pdf (https://www.oaktreecapital.com/docs/default-source/memos/lines-in-the-sand.pdf) originally published on April 18, 2017. Following up on

  29. Behind the Memo: The Pendulum in International Affairs

    In the latest episode of Behind the Memo, Howard discusses the origins and important themes of his recent memo, The Pendulum in International Affairs. Howard explains why one of his favorite metaphors – the pendulum – can help investors und

  30. The Pendulum in International Affairs

    Howard Marks’s latest memo connects two seemingly unrelated trends – Europe’s energy dependence and U.S. offshoring – to explain why the pendulum of companies’ and countries’ behavior may be swinging away from globalization and toward onsho

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