Ep. 397: Risk Management in BJJ, feat. Jake Luigi

This week, we're joined again by Jake Luigi! Jake is a jiu-jitsu analyst who made his name studying professional match footage, and he runs OutlierDB, an analytics database for grappling. In this episode, Jake lays out a three-part framework for managing risk: name the worst-case scenario, watch for the key indicators that it's coming, and only attack hard once those indicators are in your favor. Topics include: risk-reward analysis, points of control, grip fighting, terminal positions, and Goodhart's Law.

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Check out OutlierDB:
outlierdb.com

Mental models discussed in this episode:
• Return on Investment
bjjmentalmodels.com/return-on-investment

• Building Your Triggers
bjjmentalmodels.com/building-your-triggers

• Double Trouble
bjjmentalmodels.com/double-trouble

• Cognitive Load
bjjmentalmodels.com/cognitive-load

• Constraints-Led Approach
bjjmentalmodels.com/constraints-led-approach

• Availability Heuristic
bjjmentalmodels.com/availability-heuristic

• Points of Control
bjjmentalmodels.com/points-of-control

• Terminal Positions
bjjmentalmodels.com/terminal-positions

• Invariants
bjjmentalmodels.com/invariants

• Grips Dictate Position
bjjmentalmodels.com/grips-dictate-position

• Kuzushi
bjjmentalmodels.com/kuzushi

• Rotational Control
bjjmentalmodels.com/rotational-control

• Goodhart's Law
bjjmentalmodels.com/goodharts-law

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