Thoughts on AI progress (Dec 2025)

Read the essay here (dwarkesh.com/p/thoughts-on-ai-progress-dec-202…).
Timestamps
00:00:00 What are we scaling?
00:03:11 The value of human labor
00:05:04 Economic diffusion lag is cope00:06:34 Goal-post shifting is justified
00:08:23 RL scaling
00:09:18 Broadly deployed intelligence explosion

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