Turbo Charged Trend Following: Why Capturing the Market’s Biggest Trends Means Embracing High Volatility | Moritz Seibert & Moritz Heiden | Takahe Capital

Moritz Seibert and Moritz Heiden of Takahe Capital dive deep into the mechanics of high-octane trend-following strategies and unpack why they target 25-30% annualized volatility, bucking the institutional trend of lower volatility to capture massive outlier trades like the recent cocoa and gold runs. They explore the heated debate between dynamic position sizing and classic approaches, revealing why letting winners run is crucial for massive returns. The conversation also touches on the emerging world of perpetual futures on decentralized platforms and why keeping trading models simple often beats complex fundamental analysis.

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Timestamps:

00:00 Intro

01:14 Do You Need Big Trends

03:21 Smooth vs Choppy Trends

05:00 Oil Curve Positioning

07:43 Model Design Not Discretion

09:24 Why Trend Funds Differ

16:02 Classic Trend Playbooks

19:04 Sizing Beats Entry

25:01 Perpetual Futures Reality

32:41 High Octane Philosophy

35:22 Letting Winners Get Huge

39:04 Why Trends End Late

41:55 Price Only vs Fundamentals

46:28 What’s Trending Now

49:57 Spreads Underperforming

52:37 When Signals Die

57:49 Simple Robust Parameters

01:00:59 Design Without Optimization

01:05:43 Diversification and Investors

01:09:32 Uniqueness and Market Mix

01:14:21 Who Buys High Vol

01:15:54 Conclusion