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Expansion on Broadway
The play, entitled “Steadily She Slows”, has, from a dramatic perspective, turned out to be a dud. It started with such a promising prologue of pandemic, recession, recovery, political upheaval, war and inflation. However, it has since sett
Risks and Exposure
As a young lad growing up in South Dublin, I received certain geography lessons on where I could, or could not, safely roam. In particular, I was warned not to stray north of O’Connell Street. I remember debating my mother on the issue, onc
The Wide and Foggy Road
Every three months, the 19 members of the Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee, of FOMC for short, aided, no doubt, by an army of econometric minions, work up new forecasts for key economic variables and their assessment of appro
The Normalization of an Abnormal Job Market
For centuries, economists have extolled the almost magical properties of competitive markets. In the 1770s, Adam Smith wrote about an “invisible hand” by which individuals end up promoting the common good even though they only ever intended
The Causes and Consequences of Gloom and Doom
One of the most common plotlines in all of literature is when a protagonist, overestimating the gravity of a situation, responds with a series of unfortunate decisions. Perhaps the classic example of this is Romeo, not appreciating the diff
The Investment Implications of the Federal Debt: An Update
The importance of any piece of economic information depends on your time horizon. For traders, the issue is how it will move markets today. For politicians, its relevance lies in how it could shape public opinion between now and the next el
Commercial Real Estate: Macro Risk or Investment Opportunity?
The most common scavenger bird in the western United States is the turkey vulture, more commonly called the turkey buzzard. It is a marvel of evolution, with keen eyesight and an extraordinary sense of smell, allowing it to locate the recen
The Right Track
I have never been blessed with any skill in golf. However, I do have some imagination and so I can imagine a situation in which I am lining up a long and difficult putt. With well-justified humility, I wince as I strike the ball, knowing it
The Causes and Consequences of More Volatile Bonds
Since the advent of modern financial markets, bonds have always had the reputation of being conservative – rather like an elderly family lawyer in a leather-bound chair frowning at more jumpy and excitable stocks. Bonds would never make you
The Dollar Dynasty
Growing up in New England, our sons had a privileged childhood as sports fans and particularly as football fans. Between 2001 and 2020, the New England Patriots, coached by Bill Belichick and with Tom Brady at quarterback, competed in nine
