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SemiAnalysis Weekly· Staffel 1· Folge 39

Ep. 039 - [EMERGENCY] Our Numbers Are "Insane." Here's the Proof. (Datacenters) | Jeremie Ontiveros, Reyk Knuhtsen, Jordan Nanos

Dienstag, 20. Oktober 2026 · 35 min

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Brad Gerstner put our 43 gigawatt forecast for 2027 on All-In, then again in his BG2 sit-down with Jensen, and called it too aggressive. The consensus counter sits near 25 GW, built on moratorium headlines and grid connection fears. Jordan Nanos (@JordanNanos) sits down with Jeremie Ontiveros (@JeremieEO) and Reyk Knuhtsen (@robotknower), who have been tracking the same capacity curve since March 2024, and it has barely moved across every model revision. So they aren't cutting it. They're raising it.

Read the article: newsletter.semianalysis.com/p/datacenters-2027…

Cold Open
The 2027 Forecast Debate
Model Track Record
Where the Pushback Comes From
Delays and Haircuts
The Top 40 Sites
Leading Indicators
Modular Builds
Chips vs Datacenters
Responding to Brad Gerstner

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