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Today's Post - bahnsen.co/4yKFqXT
From Newport Beach, the episode recaps a modest market rebound (Dow +146, S&P +0.7%, Nasdaq +0.82%) with tech leading while communication services lagged, and highlights the 10-year yield at 4.99% after falling ~35 bps in two weeks, which the host attributes more to supply/demand and positioning than inflation. He notes elevated volatility, worsening market breadth and concentration risk, and “under the hood” weakness despite the S&P being near highs. Major items include Brazil’s election (Lula victory and a sharp equity drop), a $63B AI-compute financing structure tied to Broadcom/Anthropic, and Meta announcing a $95B stock sale plan. He flags unverified reports about Fetterman, possible Iran strike escalation, and progress on a Canada trade deal. The week ahead includes Q3 GDP (~3.3%), a Fed meeting (markets price 90% no hike), hyperscaler earnings, high mortgage rates, and elevated oil.
Welcome From Newport
Market Close Recap
Bond Yields And Fed
Market Breadth Warning
Under The Hood Losses
Global And Deal News
Politics And Geopolitics
GDP Housing And Energy
Ask TBG And Week Ahead
Closing Thoughts
Links mentioned in this episode:
DividendCafe.com (dividendcafe.com)
TheBahnsenGroup.com (thebahnsengroup.com)