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Shownotes
Brian Szytel reports a third straight up day for markets on a Fed day as the Fed held rates steady, upgraded the economy from “solid” to “strong,” and noted two dissenters favoring a hike amid supply shocks and inflation concerns; he expects the pause to be election-related, with an 86% chance of a December hike and two to three more priced in thereafter, implying a 4.50%–4.75% terminal fed funds range. Markets were modestly higher (Dow +97; S&P and Nasdaq +0.25%), yields barely moved, WTI remained above $100, and inventories data were mostly in line. He addresses a question comparing China’s “ghost city” overbuilding to U.S. data centers, arguing the U.S. build-out is smaller (~3% of GDP vs. ~30%), more market-driven, and closer to dot-com fiber overinvestment risk than China’s state-led, debt-heavy model.
Market Snapshot
Fed Holds Rates
Earnings and Rates
Day’s Data Recap
Question on Data Centers
China Ghost Cities
US Data Center Risks
Wrap Up and Thanks
Links mentioned in this episode:
DividendCafe.com (dividendcafe.com)
TheBahnsenGroup.com (thebahnsengroup.com)