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Shownotes
Brian Szytel recaps a quiet Tuesday, July 7, with markets closing modestly lower amid increased U.S.–Iran tensions involving tanker attacks and restrictions on Iran’s oil exports; crude rose about 3% to roughly $70.56 while gold dipped. Tech led the decline as semiconductors sold off, with the S&P 500 down ~0.5%, the Dow ~0.4%, and the Nasdaq down a little over 1%. Economic news was limited, but May’s U.S. trade deficit widened to $77B, about $20B more than the prior month. Despite the pullback, major indices are up around 10% year-to-date, reflecting a rotation from concentrated chip leaders (some down ~30% in 10 days) into defensives and broader participation. The 10-year yield rose ~7 bps to 4.55%. He also addresses concerns about Q1 profits boosted by mark-to-market gains on non-listed AI holdings, calling it non-recurring and two-sided.
Market Wrap Intro
Geopolitics Oil Moves
Tech Rotation Selloff
Trade Deficit Update
Year To Date Perspective
Rates And Macro Mix
Ask TBG Earnings Quirk
Closing Remarks
Links mentioned in this episode:
DividendCafe.com (dividendcafe.com)
TheBahnsenGroup.com (thebahnsengroup.com)