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The Dividend Cafe

Wednesday - September 9, 2026

Mittwoch, 9. September 2026 · 9 min

MP3

Shownotes

Brian Szytel reports a third straight market decline (Dow -405, S&P -0.5%, Nasdaq -0.7%) alongside falling bond prices and a 10-year yield up 5 bps to 4.84%, noting Treasury talk of increasing long-bond buybacks to $6B is too small versus ~$5.5T of long debt and was met by higher yields. He walks through a hypothetical of refinancing all long-term debt with T-bills, which could flatten the curve but would push short rates up, remove long-duration supply, and make U.S. financing resemble an emerging market, undermining the Fed and increasing fiscal sensitivity and inflation premiums. He notes T-bills are ~22% of issuance vs a ~15–20% target. He discusses Japan and Europe’s zero/negative-rate policies often producing unintended outcomes (carry trades, deleveraging, higher saving). No major data today; PPI tomorrow and CPI Friday.

Market Close Recap

Treasury Buyback Buzz

Yield Curve Control Limits

Why Borrowing Long Matters

Fed Mandate And Inflation Risk

Japan Zero Rate Lessons

Europe Negative Rate Backfire

Wrap Up And Data Ahead

Links mentioned in this episode:
DividendCafe.com (dividendcafe.com)

TheBahnsenGroup.com (thebahnsengroup.com)

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