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Shownotes
This episode unpacks Xi Jinping’s high-stakes Washington visit, discussions of “constructive stability,” and tensions over Taiwan, AI, and Iran.
Host:
James M. Lindsay (cfr.org/experts/james-m-lindsay), Mary and David Boies Distinguished Senior Fellow in U.S. Foreign Policy, CFR
Guests:
Julian Gewirtz (cwp.sipa.columbia.edu/directory/julian-gewirtz), Senior Research Scholar, Columbia University’s School of International and Public Affairs
Bonny Lin (csis.org/people/bonny-lin), Director of the China Power Project and Senior Adviser at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)
We Discuss:
• Why Xi Jinping has chosen this moment for his first visit to Washington in a decade, and what his concept of “constructive strategic stability” would actually require of both sides.
• What President Trump’s plan to personally greet Xi at Joint Base Andrews signals about Washington’s current view of the relationship.
• Whether hosting a lavish state visit forty days before the midterms is a political risk for Trump and his party.
• How Beijing aims to lock in a truce on its own terms, from Taiwan arms sales to the pace of diplomacy.
• Whether a pending $14 billion arms package and stalled presidential transits are eroding Taiwan’s confidence in U.S. support.
• What a U.S.-China AI dialogue can and can’t deliver, and why Dario Amodei’s call to “pace the frontier” lands differently in Beijing.
• How China’s purchases of Iranian oil are shaping Iran’s resilience, and whether Washington’s threats against Chinese banks are credible.
• What Xi’s recent diplomatic tour—and his skipping the UN General Assembly—reveals about the world order Beijing is building.
Mentioned on the Episode:
Dario Amodei, “We Must Pace the Frontier (darioamodei.com/post/we-must-pace-the-frontier),” darioamodei.com
Julian Gewirtz, “Is Trump Really Giving Xi a State Visit 40 Days Before the Midterms? (juliangewirtz.substack.com/p/is-trump-really-g…)” Paper Tiger
“Taiwan Relations Act (H.R. 2479) (congress.gov/bill/96th-congress/house-bill/2479),” U.S. Congress
For an episode transcript and show notes, visit The President’s Inbox at: cfr.org/podcasts/presidents-inbox/trump-rolls-…
Opinions expressed on The President’s Inbox are solely those of the host or guests, not of CFR, which takes no institutional positions on matters of policy.