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Shownotes
In this solo episode, I explain why I say SaaS is dead and what I see taking its place. For 15 years, SaaS meant paying engineers to build a tool and charging per seat, and now models like Opus 5.5, GPT-6, and Argon make the tool easy to build. I walk through what I call smart SaaS: give the tool away for free, collect data and network effects, and make money by upselling AI agents and human services. I share a calorie tracking example, three ways to charge, and why enterprises still pay per seat. If you build software, this episode gives you a map for building something people want in a market where the tool is free.
Timestamps
– Intro
– SaaS 1.0
– SaaS 2.0: The New Business Model
– How to monetize SaaS 2.0
– Service is the new Software
– SaaS Is Dead, Long Live SaaS
– SMB vs Enterprise
– Closing Thoughts
Key Points
• AI makes the tool easy to build, so the per-seat model of the last 15 years has run its course.
• Smart SaaS gives the tool away and collects data and network effects as payment.
• The money comes from upselling intelligence from AI agents and services from humans.
• Agents can charge by token or by outcome, and human services by the week or month.
• SaaS for SMBs, prosumers, and individuals trends toward free, while enterprises still pay something per seat.
• The market for getting things done is bigger than the market for tools, so the total market for SaaS grows.
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Transkriptvom Podcast bereitgestellt · Zeitmarken springen hin
Sass is dead, everybody. And in today's video, I'm going to basically break down why I think that's the case, where the opportunities are, and what's really happening here. And I think the people that understand where Sass is really going, I think are just... They're going to understand how they can reorient themselves to build something that people actually want.
So I'm going to make this the clearest breakdown on the internet for what's happening with SaaS, where it's going, why it's dead, quote unquote, why I think it's evolving into something else, what that something else is. And yeah, by the end of it, you're going to understand it. So... How did SaaS typically work for the last 15 years was people basically built some code.
That was the software, right? Software as a service. They created some code and that code was essentially a tool. So the hard part about SaaS was can you get enough smart engineers in a room to, pay them to code something out that was high quality, that worked, that was a tool for a human being to go and use, right?
Yeah. And in exchange for using that tool, you paid money. And the whole business model was a per seat basis. So you would pay per seat $9.99, $29.99. And you would go and access that tool as a service. in the cloud, and that was basically how it worked. And for a long period of time, this model made people billions of dollars.
I mean, there's so many examples of SaaS companies that made billions of dollars. Slack, for example, I think sold for $29 billion. This model really worked for a while. And the reality is it does not work anymore because... AI makes the ability to create the SaaS super easy. I think when we hit the Opus 5.5, GPT-6, Astra, that level of model...
even argon, carbon, these models are so good that building the SaaS is not hard. So what is the... Okay, so cool, Greg. That's very academic of you. How can I actually go and build a SaaS that works in today's environment? Well, let me explain where we're going with all of this in the simplest way I possibly can.
So the new version of SaaS, it has actually like a different business model. So in a world where the tool is so easy to create, and by the way, we're going to talk about... the ICP and who to target later. So stick around for that. You're still building a tool, right? So you may be using AI to create the tool or AI with one human or two humans instead of no AI and 20 humans.
But you're creating a tool. But the business model is actually free. So you're actually giving away the tool. I don't know why more people aren't actually doing this. I tweeted this the other day, like give away the CRM, give away the dashboard, give away the app, get people onto the tool, find niches where there's something in this old model that people are paying for and literally give away the thing to the person for free.
And, We're going to get to how you can actually make money from this in a second. But the value exchange here initially isn't the money, right? So it used to be that you would go and pay for this. But what are you giving here? You're not giving money. Well, you are giving data. Right. So that is going to help you make a better tool.
You know, you are creating network effects and that's going to help you create a moat. So that's the idea is like you're in the tool, free tool business, and you're going to be trying to acquire proprietary data, which you can eventually sell or use to make your tool a lot better. And then a tool that helps, you know, create network effects.
Now, how do you actually make money from this tool then? Yeah. Well, and by the way, I actually think that the market in this world, we'll call it SaaS 2.0 or SaaS 1.0. This is what I would call dumb SaaS because it's just a tool. And this is what I would call smart SaaS because it's intelligent. And I'll get to that in a second.
You're basically upselling intelligence. Yeah. You're upselling intelligence. So you're basically saying, hey, I'm going to give you away the CRM, say. But if you want the CRM to go and do something for me with AI agents, that's going to cost you money. And you can upsell that. The other thing that you can upsell is some service.
So a service provided by humans. And this is intelligence provided by agents. So this is, you know, when Sequoia talks about, you know, trillion dollar services, the new software, they're talking about this. Okay. And they're basically saying like, hey, there's going to be a tool and that's going to get you in and that's going to bring data and network effects.
And if you want a upsell, you can have a service. Now, what's a concrete example of this? In the consumer space, it would be something like a calorie tracking app, right? you know, make personalized meal plans or give you like more, you know, precise calorie tracking, you would have to pay for that. Or if you wanted to be upsold to a weekly weight coach to help you get on track, that is something that you would pay money for.
So it's pretty interesting. I think why it's interesting is this was kind of limiting. The tool per seat was kind of limiting because not everyone wants to pay for tools. But if you create essentially a product studio around free tools, get people in, get their data, get their network effects, and then upsell them either to AI agents or to human beings, there's a lot of niches that are just wide open right now.
that I think you can go and build stuff in. So it excites me. So when I see things, tweets and stuff like that, around like SaaS is dead, period. It's not that SaaS is dead, period. It's SaaS is dead, long live SaaS. This is like, you know, we're evolving from this, which is no longer a thing anymore.
Like, it's dead. Like, don't create this, right? Yeah. The other thing to mention is the business model of, okay, it's free over here, upsell to agents. How do you charge for that? You can either charge by token, you can charge by pay per outcome, so if the agents actually do something. And then for human beings, it could be weekly or a monthly fee.
So I think that the total TAM for total addressable market for SaaS is now bigger because the market for people accomplishing things is just a lot bigger than people actually using a tool to complete something. When I posted about this whole smart SaaS thing and how SaaS is going to be free, my point is that SaaS is trending towards being free.
So I think that, here, this is sort of the price, where things are going now. I think for a lot of SMBs, prosumer stuff, it's going to be free. But I do want to say, when it comes to enterprise, when I'm talking about enterprise, I'm saying like Fortune 500, 2000, those companies, they still might pay something per seat.
I think that number goes down. over time. And I still think that there's upsells to humans and super intelligence. But the point is, some enterprises are just not going to want free stuff. They're going to want to pay. They're going to want to pay for the security. They're going to want to pay because it just feels good to pay because it feels like you're getting taken care of.
So I think that enterprise, they will still pay something. But again, the main point I'm trying to make is it's going towards free. I think for SMBs, you're going to see it becoming more and more free. And individuals too. I hadn't seen anyone really clearly explain this, so I wanted to put it in here.
I think... I'm happy to do more on this. Just comment below, like, comment, and subscribe. And I can do more on where SaaS is going, the niches, the opportunities. If this gets 5,000 likes, comments, and subscribes on YouTube, I will go and do more of that. But yeah, I think this is a really interesting time to be creating SaaS.
This is the map in your life. Enjoy. Go and do it. Thank you for watching. Thank you for listening. Have a creative day and I'll see you next time.