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  1. April 7 Launch: Container Freight Futures Go Live on ICE

    Tomorrow, April 7, container freight futures tied to the NYSHEX Freight Index (NYFI) go live on Intercontinental Exchange (ICE). In this week’s episode of Supply Chain Secrets, the conversation focuses on what that means for the industry an

  2. Hormuz Impact: Rates Rise, But Not How You’d Expect

    Freight markets are reacting to the crisis in the Strait of Hormuz but not in the way many expected. In this week’s episode of Supply Chain Secrets, Caroline and Lars break down what is actually happening beneath the surface of the rate dat

  3. Freight Price Predictions for 2026: What the Market Is Pricing In

    What will freight rates look like for the rest of 2026? In this week’s episode of Supply Chain Secrets, the discussion moves beyond current spot rates to what the market is already pricing into the future. From forward curves on key trades

  4. Hormuz Shock: What the Latest Crisis Means for Freight Rates and Risk

    The Strait of Hormuz crisis has abruptly changed the tone of the ocean freight market. In this week’s Supply Chain Secrets episode, Caroline Weaver and Lars Jensen are joined by Peter Stallion of Clarksons to unpack what is happening right

  5. Persian Gulf Shock, Tariff Refunds, and the Next Wave of Surcharges

    Back from TPM, the team dives into the biggest forces reshaping ocean shipping right now. This week’s episode covers: • Demand data and a widening imbalance on Asia to Europe, plus what that means for headhaul pricing • How parcel and DTC t

  6. TPM Live: Iran Escalation, Phantom GRIs, and a New Playbook for Volatility

    Recorded live during TPM26 in Long Beach, this episode breaks down the rapidly escalating situation involving Iran and what it means for ocean shipping immediately. Lars Jensen walks through the on-the-ground implications for the Strait of

  7. Tariff Shock and Post-CNY Signals: What It Means for Rates and Contracts

    This week’s Supply Chain Secrets focuses squarely on tariff volatility and what it means for global trade. The Supreme Court overturns IEEPA tariffs. A new blanket tariff is introduced days later. Hundreds of commodity-level exemptions are

  8. Market Rewire — Hapag-Lloyd’s Zim Acquisition & Post-CNY Signals

    This week’s Supply Chain Secrets is jam-packed. Lars Jensen and Caroline Weaver dig into sharp post–Chinese New Year moves: loaded spot rates falling faster than expected, spreads tightening across Pacific trades, and what that means for ma

  9. Before the Bottom: Early Rate Declines, Market Spreads, and Red Sea Signals

    Freight markets are turning earlier—and faster—than seasonal patterns would suggest. In this episode of Supply Chain Secrets, Caroline Weaver and Lars Jensen unpack why Pacific spot rates are collapsing well ahead of Chinese New Year, how t

  10. When Quotes Lie: What Paid Rates, Index Choice, and Volatility Are Telling Us Now

    Rates are rolling over earlier than expected, and the gap between quoted and paid freight rates is widening again. In this episode of Supply Chain Secrets, Caroline Weaver and Lars Jensen break down what’s driving the post–Chinese New Year

  11. Rates Roll Over, Indexing Gets Real, and Red Sea Risk Returns

    Freight markets are turning earlier than usual. In this episode of Supply Chain Secrets, Caroline Weaver and Lars Jensen break down sharp declines in quoted rates, early signs that the Chinese New Year peak has already passed, and what actu

  12. Early 2026 Signals: Rates, Indexing, and the Red Sea Question

    As 2026 gets underway, early signals are already diverging. In this episode of Supply Chain Secrets, Caroline Weaver and Lars Jensen are joined by Matthew Chicalace of Hellmann Worldwide Logistics to break down the growing gap between quote

  13. 2026 Outlook: Early Rate Signals, Strong Demand, and Rising Geopolitical Risk

    As 2026 gets underway, early market signals are already diverging. In this episode of Supply Chain Secrets, Caroline Weaver and Lars Jensen break down where freight rates are heading post-Chinese New Year, what the latest Container Trade St

  14. Year-End 2025: What Changed, What Didn’t, and What’s Coming in 2026

    In this 2025 year-end review, Caroline, Lars, and Don Davis reflect on a year defined by tariff whiplash, uneven demand, and persistent gaps between quoted vs. paid spot rates. They also look ahead to 2026, where the base case remains conti

  15. Unsettled Rates, New Tariffs & Rising Maritime Risks: Market Signals for 2026

    Global shipping enters another volatile week. Caroline, Lars, and guest Michael Wray of Ocean Network Express (ONE) unpack rate swings across key trades, shifting sourcing strategies, Mexico’s new China tariffs, Red Sea uncertainty, and a s

  16. Jittery Rates, Softening Demand & New Risks Ahead for 2026

    This week, Caroline and Lars break down another volatile shift in the market — from weakening global demand to unusual rate distortions and rising geopolitical risks. In this episode: • NYFI loaded spot rates for Asia–North Europe and the P

  17. Freight Rates, Futures, and Investor Risk with Sagil Capital Partner, Mark Hendricks

    This week on Supply Chain Secrets, Caroline Weaver and Lars Jensen are joined by Sagil Capital Partner Mark Hendricks to break down how freight rate volatility is affecting both shippers and investors. They cover the latest NYFI and SCFI mo

  18. Tariff Turmoil, Vessel Fires, and the Small Wire That Took Down a Bridge

    Global container rates are sliding fast — and volatility is here to stay. In this week’s Supply Chain Secrets, Caroline and Lars break down what’s happening across key trades and what it means for shippers heading into 2026. In this episode

  19. A Jittery Market, A Clear Signal: Lower Rates Ahead?

    Rates are up, down, and sideways depending on origin, equipment, and trade lane — but beneath the noise, a clear forward signal is emerging: 2026 contract levels look set to decline. Lars and Caroline walk through the extreme pricing diverg

  20. Volatility Is Back — And So Are the Pirates

    Rates are dropping, pirates are reappearing, and demand is diverging across the globe. In this episode, Lars Jensen and Caroline Weaver unpack what last week’s NYSHEX London event revealed about market volatility — and why the container ind

  21. Unsettled Seas: China Tariffs, Rate Shifts, and the Return of Pirates

    Container shipping just won’t sit still. This week, Caroline Weaver and Lars Jensen unpack the latest volatility across global trades — from Pacific spot rates showing strange regional “vibrations,” to a 20–30% capacity surge on the transat

  22. Inflation’s Hidden Freight Discount: Why Rates Are Lower Than You Think

    Freight rates might look like they’re holding steady — but when you adjust for inflation, the real story tells a very different tale. In this week’s Supply Chain Secrets, Caroline Weaver and Lars Jensen break down why inflation-adjusted fre

  23. No Stop Button, No Filter: What's Going on in Global Shipping This Week?

    What happens when AWS failures disable your Stop Recording button? You let Lars Jensen keep talking — and you get one of the most in-depth updates yet. In this week’s Supply Chain Secrets, Caroline Weaver and Lars unpack: • Why IMO’s “Net Z

  24. Firehose Week: Tariffs, “China’s USTR,” MEPC Carbon Tax—and Why Rates Are Still Calm

    Tariff whiplash, “China’s USTR,” and a carbon levy vote—yet spot rates look oddly calm. Caroline Weaver and Lars Jensen cut through the chaos: Trump’s 100% tariff warning vs. the Nov 10 tariff snap-back, China’s mirror policy (including the

  25. Trade Shifts, Rate Slides, and Real Market Signals: The State of Global Shipping This Week

    In this week’s Supply Chain Secrets podcast, hosts Caroline Weaver and Lars Jensen unpack the latest developments shaping container shipping and global trade. Lars calls in from Curaçao with an update on freight rates across the Pacific and

  26. From Phantom Peaks to Tariff Uncertainty: Why Rates Keep Sliding

    The latest Supply Chain Secrets dives into the widening gap between quoted rates and what’s actually paid. Lars Jensen explains how the NYFI reveals a “phantom peak” that never materialized on the Trans-Pacific, the sharp declines on Asia–S

  27. Rates in Freefall, Capacity Crunch, and What’s Next After Golden Week

    In this episode of Supply Chain Secrets, Caroline Weaver and Lars Jensen break down the latest volatility in container shipping. Asia–Europe rates continue their seasonal slide, while the Pacific faces a dramatic collapse in demand just as

  28. From Asia–Europe Erosion to Atlantic Stability: What’s Really Driving Rates?

    In this week’s episode of Supply Chain Secrets, Caroline Weaver and Lars Jensen break down the latest shifts across major trades. • Asia–Europe: Spot rates dip below spring levels, but Lars explains why it’s not yet a full collapse. • Trans

  29. Tariff Whiplash, Demand Surprises, and Crew Change Chaos

    In this episode of Supply Chain Secrets, Caroline Weaver and Lars Jensen unpack the latest twists in global trade. They cover falling Asia–Europe spot rates, unexpected tariff exemptions affecting hundreds of commodities, and the stark divi

  30. Post-Labor Day Market Update: Spot Rates, Red Sea Risks, and Shifting Trade Ties

    On this week’s Supply Chain Secrets, Caroline and Lars dive into the latest on global shipping markets. From sliding Asia–Europe spot rates and a short-lived Pacific GRI, to an unexpected Atlantic downturn, Lars explains what the numbers ac

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